The military plan for removing Gaddafi from Libya
What’s going on. Why isn’t the west doing anything. To answer that you need to think about assets, limitations and what the goal is. Think about how quickly assets move. Think about Baghdad.
Gadaffi won’t be allowed to remain in power, not even in Tripoli. Obama, Sarkozy and Cameron have major stakes in this game now. So do the Arabs. That is the end game and Obama, Cameron and others have said so quite clearly. Here’s the plan.
First they need to get command & control aircraft in place. This is necessary for directing fighter plane traffic as they attack Gadaffi’s military assets, without command and control in charge there would be military chaos with planes in each others’ flight paths and cross attacking targets and so on. It’s too dangerous for western or arab manned planes to “just attack”, nobody wants pilots on parade in Tripoli!
So step one is get command and control resources in place. I don’t know if these assets will be flying out of the USA or being collected from NATO and Iraq theatre and perhaps elsewhere. Flying from the US they could be in place (with the logistical assets needed to sustain them there) by Sat eve Libya time. If they’re NATO or Iraq theatre assets perhaps several hours quicker. I don’t think any other nation but the USA have the resources to handle the command and control of such a large scale multi-nation attack. Fighter bombers are coming from the UK, France, Qatar and the UAE and possibly Jordan. They’re probably prepped for action now awaiting orders and flight plans and targets. Without a doubt Arab fighter bomber assets will feature prominent in the attack to come.
Air refueling assets are also being moved in as quickly as possible as well as logistical support that in-air refueling needs on the ground. I think sufficient resources for the attack to begin sat eve Libya time will be in place given the urgency of the situation. Supply lines can be reinforced as the attacks take place.
The attacks will begin with fighter bombers attacking Gaddafi’s anti-air defense system and attacking to disrupt & destroy all military communications as well as State TV. They will aggressively destroy tanks and artillery installations with intensive attacks. Military airfields will be bombed.
Attacks will likely go on all night as intel recon identifies military targets. Night attacks have a shock & awe factor and its intensity will be frightening to mercenaries. By Sunday mid-day large portions of Gaddafi’s military will be gone. Expect rapid defections with only his elite guard left for Gaddafi to rely on. They will circle the wagons around Gaddafi in Tripoli or where ever he decides he’ll make his last stand. He will certainly leave a path of destruction in his wake.
At the same time the supply streams of munitions and logistical material are being supplied to the rebels via Arab states ultimately supplied by the US. The rebels will be able to advance rapidly against the remnants of Gaddafi’s defences.
It’s only a matter of time then for the citizen army to take on the elite forces. With air support on the side of the rebels the end game shouldn’t take long. At that point the Libyans are left to sort things out and the military alliance will disband.